Ronda Rousey vs Holly Holm
For all the talk of Holm’s boxing credentials, her lifeline is that back leg kick. It’s exactly what does one of the most damage, and you can bet it’s No. 1 on Rousey’s top priority list in terms of defending. Holm enjoys to end mixes with it, either to the body or head, and it has actually led directly to most of her surfaces. Remarkably, she has ended up just one fight with punches, which was against an opponent who combated only two times in her whole career.
Honestly, that kick has to land (and it has to land difficult) for Holm to have a chance. There might be some universe where she can win this five-round fight by choice, however not the one we’re residing in. Rousey is too good at profiting from mistakes, and each time this fight gets in the clinch, Holm fans will be holding their cumulative breath. Numerous things can go wrong in the clinch versus Rousey.
Something that’s going to stick out right now is Holm’s size. She’s the most significant challenger Rousey will have battled to this day. She’s probably strong and athletic enough to make a few of those inescapable scrambles intriguing, which could be a lot of fun to see, but she absolutely can’t win all them. With her 69-inch reach, Holm has to keep distance. She’ll aim to do so with push kicks, footwork and a respectable jab, using her excellent cage awareness.
All this is great to talk about, however does she actually have a shot? That’s the concern, and the honest response is really close to a flat “no.” As I discussed, Holm’s size and athleticism are intriguing. If she’s able to come out of that first clinch alive– just keep balance, drive Rousey backward into the fence and disengage– that a person minute might be worth the rate of admission, simply to see Rousey’s reaction. The bottom line, however, is Holm lacks one-punch knockout power. She has never had a surface in the preliminary. She requires volume and time to get things done. Rousey doesn’t use those opportunities.
As far as Holm’s grappling, it would not be surprising if, over time, she holds her own against the rest of the division. However in this fight? Against Rousey? The number of times can she reasonably expect to go to the flooring and still have an opportunity to win? Exactly what’s that number? One? Definitely it’s not more than a couple.